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Number of Irish returning home at highest level since 2007

Nearly 29,000 Irish nationals returned home to live and work in the year to the end of April, the highest number for 13 years.

Figures published by the Central Statistics Office (CSO) show the overall population rose by 1.1 per cent, or 55,900 people, year-on-year to 4.98 million.

An increase of 1.3 per cent, or 64,500 individuals increase, was recorded in the same period a year earlier.

CSO statician James Hegarty noted that the figures did not record much of the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic as they only covered the first few weeks.

Net inward migration to the State was down by 14.2 per cent year-on-year, or by 4,800 people, with 85,400 people arriving in the 12 months to the end of April. Of these, 28,900 were estimated to be returning Irish nationals – the highest number coming back since 2007.

Of the 56,500 people who emigrated from Ireland in the year to April, 28,300 (50.1 per cent) were estimated to be Irish nationals – a decrease of 700 (2.4 per cent) on the previous year.

As of April, there were 644,400 non-Irish nationals estimated to be resident in the State, equivalent to 12.9 per cent of the population.

Some 28,200 non-Irish nationals emigrated during the reporting period, meaning that net inward migration among non-Irish nationals fell by 20.9 per cent to 28,300 from 35,800 in the previous year.

A total of 58,300 births were recorded, while the number of deaths was 31,200, resulting in a natural population increase of 27,100, the lowest level recorded since 2001, the CSO said.

Dublin population

The number of people living in Dublin stood at 1.42 million in April, with the area’s population increasing by 1.6 per cent over the year. Some 28.5 per cent of the State’s total population now lives in the capital.

The proportion of the population aged 65 and over increased by 23,900 (3.4 per cent) to 720,100 in the year to April. This age group has grown by 14.3 per cent since 2016 and now accounts for 14.5 per cent of the total population.

KBC Bank economist Austin Hughes said the fall in net inward migration was “somewhat surprising” given there was a “sense that these data might see a continuing uptick” in the figure.

He said that in circumstances where increased Brexit-related concerns might have been expected to prompt a pick-up in migration flows from the UK, a significant decline in inflows was difficult to explain “unless we believe that such flows had already largely happened in earlier years”.

“More generally, as the pace of Irish economic growth has picked up notably in recent years, it has prompted sharp increases in employment and corresponding declines in unemployment that seem at odds with a decline in inward migration overall,” he said.

Ger Brady from employers’ group Ibec, said: “Before Covid-19 we had been seeing a flattening of inward migration for a number of years. This is mostly reflective of an economy which had been running close to capacity and had significant quality of life challenges – in areas such as housing, transport, and childcare.”

“These challenges will still exist in the post-Covid world. The new National Economic Plan in October will give the State an opportunity to set out a long-term strategy to improve Ireland’s attractiveness as a place to live, work, and invest,” he said.

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